The trader said the speculation followed clearer forecasts that output would fall by 15-20 percent during the 2018-19 crop year, mostly due to unfavourable weather conditions. "Now that the harvest is about to end, a forecast about a drop in output appears to have become true," said a second Dak Lak-based trader. Vietnam is the world largest robusta producer. Farmers have picked nearly 85 percent of the 2018-19 harvest, which is expected to end mid-January.
Traders in Vietnam offered 5 percent black and broken grade 2 robusta at a $30-$50 per tonne discount to the March contract, compared with a $40-$50 discount last week. In Indonesia, no trade was recorded this week due to a holiday.